All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Gavit Invitational |
Tri County Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
North Newton Invitational |
Greater South Shore Conference |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/22 |
8/27 |
9/13 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
9/27 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
| Team Rating |
1,014 |
1,177 |
1,092 |
951 |
1,053 |
1,086 |
NEI |
|
947 |
1,060 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
1,036 |
1,092 |
951 |
1,011 |
1,017 |
NEI |
|
947 |
1,060 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Gavit Invitational |
Tri County Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
North Newton Invitational |
Greater South Shore Conference |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
New Prairie Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 221 |
Jacob Kessler |
12 |
17:03 |
17:01 |
16:56 |
17:11 |
17:00 |
17:18 |
NEI |
NEI |
17:20 |
16:44 |
16:48 |
| 1,206 |
Tyler Kessler |
10 |
18:32 |
18:36 |
18:34 |
18:56 |
18:31 |
18:22 |
NEI |
NEI |
18:35 |
18:32 |
|
| 1,355 |
Miguel Espino |
12 |
18:43 |
19:06 |
18:40 |
18:04 |
18:28 |
18:42 |
NEI |
|
18:20 |
20:03 |
|
| 1,557 |
Ethan Gagnon |
11 |
18:59 |
|
19:45 |
18:39 |
19:15 |
|
NEI |
|
18:38 |
18:52 |
|
|
Alex McKernan |
10 |
19:28 |
20:45 |
20:23 |
|
|
19:51 |
NEI |
|
19:02 |
19:04 |
|
|
Cole Wedding |
11 |
19:44 |
19:20 |
19:48 |
19:09 |
20:00 |
19:25 |
NEI |
|
21:15 |
20:29 |
|
|
Keagan Anderson |
10 |
20:37 |
|
19:52 |
22:51 |
20:17 |
20:47 |
|
|
20:27 |
20:39 |
|
|
Evan Walsh |
11 |
20:45 |
|
21:35 |
20:12 |
20:45 |
20:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Griffin Stevens |
10 |
20:55 |
|
|
20:00 |
21:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
8.8 |
228 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
18.5 |
81.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.0 |
99 |
|
|
2.2 |
97.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Kessler |
1.4% |
112.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
1.4% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Kessler |
99.7% |
48.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
99.7% |
99.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Kessler |
100% |
17.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.6 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
8.0 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Tyler Kessler |
100% |
58.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Miguel Espino |
100% |
62.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Gagnon |
100% |
68.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jacob Kessler |
2.8 |
1.8 |
10.2 |
50.3 |
30.6 |
4.8 |
1.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tyler Kessler |
16.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
3.5 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
11.8 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
8.8 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
| Miguel Espino |
20.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.7 |
3.8 |
5.9 |
7.1 |
9.0 |
9.7 |
10.2 |
9.6 |
9.6 |
8.2 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
| Ethan Gagnon |
25.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
7.0 |
9.7 |
10.0 |
|
